Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.