/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fdenlog.png)
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Borna Sosa
49'
-
Lovro Majer
79'
-
Christian Eriksen
77'
Croatia vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F38%2Fzlatko-dalic.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result
Croatia
29.59%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
23.58%
▼
(-0.19)
Denmark
46.82%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
60.32%
▲
(+0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.75%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 2.5
41.25%
▼
(-0.82)
Over 3.5
36.35%
▲
(+0.83)
Under 3.5
63.64%
▼
(-0.83)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
73.43%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
26.56%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
38.22%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 1.5
61.78%
▼
(-0.44)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5
82.13%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 0.5
17.86%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 1.5
51.37%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
48.62%
▼
(-0.76)
Score analysis
Croatia
29.59%
Draw
23.57%
Denmark
46.83%
Croatia
2-1
@
7.18%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 29.59%
1-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 29.59%
Draw
1-1
@
10.83%
▼
(-0.15)
2-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
2-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
Denmark
1-2
@
9.33%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 46.83%
0-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 46.83%
