UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Croatia
2 - 1
Denmark

Sosa (49'), Majer (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Eriksen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: France 0-1 Croatia
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	4	3	9
2	Croatia	4	-1	7
3	Austria	4	0	4
4	France	4	-2	2

Denmark

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Austria
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	4	3	9
2	Croatia	4	-1	7
3	Austria	4	0	4
4	France	4	-2	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Denmark
29.59% ( -0.12)	23.58% ( -0.19)	46.82% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 60.32% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.75% (

0.81)

41.25% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.35% (

0.82)

63.64% (

-0.82)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

0.33)

26.56% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22% (

0.43)

61.78% (

-0.44)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

0.44)

17.86% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.37% (

0.75)

48.62% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Croatia 29.59%

Denmark 46.83%

Draw 23.57%

Croatia	Draw	Denmark
2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.59%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.75% Total : 46.83%