/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
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Christoph Baumgartner
9'
-
Luka Modric
6'
-
Marko Livaja
69'
-
Dejan Lovren
72'
Austria vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F38%2Fzlatko-dalic.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
Result
Austria
42.22%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
24.73%
▼
(-0.11)
Croatia
33.06%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
57.99%
▲
(+0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.96%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 2.5
45.04%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 3.5
32.61%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 3.5
67.39%
▼
(-0.47)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
78.62%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
21.38%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
45.64%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
54.36%
▼
(-0.42)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
73.76%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
26.24%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
38.66%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
61.34%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Austria
42.22%
Draw
24.72%
Croatia
33.06%
Austria
2-1
@
8.93%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.22%
1-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.22%
Draw
1-1
@
11.57%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
2-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
Croatia
1-2
@
7.75%
0-1 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.06%
0-1 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.06%
