UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Austria
1 - 3
Croatia

Baumgartner (9')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Modric (6'), Livaja (69'), Lovren (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Austria and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: France 2-0 Austria
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	5	0	10
2	Denmark	5	2	9
3	France	5	0	5
4	Austria	5	-2	4

Croatia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Denmark
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Croatia	5	0	10
2	Denmark	5	2	9
3	France	5	0	5
4	Austria	5	-2	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Austria	Draw	Croatia
42.22% ( 0.12)	24.73% ( -0.11)	33.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

0.49)

45.04% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

0.47)

67.39% (

-0.47)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

0.27)

21.38% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

0.41)

54.36% (

-0.41)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

0.23)

26.24% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

0.31)

61.34% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Austria 42.22%

Croatia 33.06%

Draw 24.72%

Austria	Draw	Croatia
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.22%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.06%