Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (5.06%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Saudi Arabia
36.43% ( 0.02)	20.65% ( 0)	42.91% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 74.59% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.09% (

-0.02)

23.9% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.52% (

-0.02)

43.47% (

0.02)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

14.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.99% (

-0)

43.01% (

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

-0.01)

12.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.54% (

-0.03)

38.46% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Croatia 36.43%

Saudi Arabia 42.91%

Draw 20.65%

Croatia	Draw	Saudi Arabia
2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 4.3% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 7.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.3% 3-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.65%	1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.99% 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 42.91%