International Friendlies
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-
Andrej Kramaric
82'
Croatia vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (5.06%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
Result
Croatia
36.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
20.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Saudi Arabia
42.91%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
74.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
76.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
23.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
56.52%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
43.47%
▲
(+0.03)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
85.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
14.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
56.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
43.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5
87.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
12.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
61.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
38.46%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Croatia
36.43%
Draw
20.65%
Saudi Arabia
42.91%
Croatia
2-1
@
7.02%
▲
(+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 36.43%
3-2 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 36.43%
Draw
1-1
@
7.34%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.3%
3-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.65%
2-2 @ 7.3%
3-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.65%
Saudi Arabia
1-2
@
7.63%
▲
(+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99%
0-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 42.91%
1-3 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99%
0-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 42.91%