Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Honduras win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.