International Friendlies
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Nicolas Samayoa Pacheco
70'
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Nicolas Samayoa
70'
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Edwin Solani
87'
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Edwin Solani
87'
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Darwin Lom
32'
Honduras vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
Result
Honduras
38.09%
▼
(-0.20)
Draw
26.09%
▲
(+0.10)
Guatemala
35.82%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
53.89%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.41%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 2.5
50.58%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 3.5
27.5%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 3.5
72.5%
▲
(+0.35)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5
74.06%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
25.94%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
39.06%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
60.94%
▲
(+0.40)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5
72.77%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
27.23%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
37.34%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
62.65%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Honduras
38.09%
Draw
26.08%
Guatemala
35.82%
Honduras
1-0
@
9.53%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.09%
2-1 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.09%
Draw
1-1
@
12.39%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
Guatemala
0-1
@
9.19%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.82%
1-2 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.82%
