Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Guatemala
38.09% ( -0.2)	26.09% ( 0.09)	35.82% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.41% (

-0.39)

50.58% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5% (

-0.34)

72.5% (

0.34)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

-0.29)

25.94% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06% (

-0.39)

60.94% (

0.39)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.12)

27.23% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34% (

-0.16)

62.65% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Honduras 38.09%

Guatemala 35.82%

Draw 26.08%

Honduras	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.09%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.82%