Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.