Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Jun 14, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
Dominican Republic national football team

Guatemala
2 - 0
Dominican Rep.

Antonio Jerez Figueroa (32', 78'), Rubin (32', 78' pen.)
Mejia (39'), Gordillo (55'), Robles (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Schoissengeyr (77')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Guatemala and Dominican Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

Last Six:
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 1-1 Guatemala
Saturday, June 11 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 1-1 Guatemala
Saturday, June 11 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawDominican Republic
53.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.96% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)23.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (-0.012 -0.01)43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)65.4% (0.012 0.01)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.17% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)31.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 53.14%
    Dominican Republic 23.89%
    Draw 22.96%
GuatemalaDrawDominican Republic
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 53.14%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 23.89%

Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 12am
Dominican Rep.
1-1
Guatemala
Lorenzo (12')
Heredia (86')
Santis (26')
Robles (60'), Barrientos (76'), (85')