Dominican Republic national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Jun 11, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez
Guatemala national football team

Dominican Rep.
1 - 1
Guatemala

Lorenzo (12')
Heredia (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Santis (26')
Robles (60'), Barrientos (76'), (85')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominican Republic and Guatemala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-3 French Guiana
Monday, June 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Guatemala

Last Six:
Last Game: Guatemala 2-0 Belize
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Dominican RepublicDrawGuatemala
32.38% (0.032000000000004 0.03)27.7% (-0.106 -0.11)39.92% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.21% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.49% (0.394 0.39)57.51% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69% (0.313 0.31)78.3% (-0.315 -0.31)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (0.226 0.23)32.88% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.251 0.25)69.45% (-0.254 -0.25)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (0.23 0.23)28.16% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (0.292 0.29)63.85% (-0.29500000000001 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Dominican Republic 32.38%
    Guatemala 39.91%
    Draw 27.7%
Dominican RepublicDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.38%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.91%