Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.08%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.