Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.08%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.