International Friendly

Jun 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Argentina
5 - 0
Estonia

Messi (9' pen., 45', 47', 71', 76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

Lionel Messi in action for Argentina on September 10, 2021

Argentina's Lionel Messi scores five to overtake Ferenc Puskas goal tally

Argentina's Lionel Messi moves into fourth place in the all-time international men's top-scorer list, overtaking Ferenc Puskas after scoring five goals against Estonia.

Jun 6, 15:14

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Estonia

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Albania vs. Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.08%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Estonia
69.14% ( -0.02)	21.8% ( -0)	9.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 30.18% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.72% (

0.06)

62.28% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06% (

0.04)

81.94% (

-0.05)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

0.01)

17.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

0.03)

47.96% (

-0.03)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.57% (

0.09)

63.43% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.69% (

0.04)

92.3% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Argentina 69.14%

Estonia 9.06%

Draw 21.79%

Argentina	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 19.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 16.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 69.14%	0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 9.06%