International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2022 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Lionel Messi 9' goal
  • Lionel Messi 45' goal
  • Lionel Messi 47' goal
  • Lionel Messi 71' goal
  • Lionel Messi 76' goal

Argentina vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.08%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result

Argentina 69.14% (-0.03)
Draw 21.8% (-0.01)
Estonia 9.06% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

30.18% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.72% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 62.28% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 18.06% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 81.94% (-0.05)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 82.52% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 52.04% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 47.96% (-0.03)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 36.57% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 63.43% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 7.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 92.3% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Argentina 69.14%
Draw 21.79%
Estonia 9.06%
Argentina
1-0 @ 19.33% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 16.86% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.46% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 69.14%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.03)
1-1 @ 8.8% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.79%
Estonia
0-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 9.06%