UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Jun 2, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estonia
2 - 0
San Marino

Kirss (24'), Tamm (32')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Golinucci (60'), Mularoni (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Estonia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Albania vs. Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

San Marino

Last Six:

Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest San Marino win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
Estonia	Draw	San Marino
49.94% ( -0.01)	24.08% ( 0)	25.98% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

-0)

46.01% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.68% (

-0)

68.32% (

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

-0)

18.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.31% (

-0.01)

49.68% (

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36%

31.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

-0)

68.04% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Estonia 49.94%

San Marino 25.98%

Draw 24.07%

Estonia	Draw	San Marino
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 49.94%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.98%