International Friendlies
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-
Mirko Palazzi
6'
-
Tommaso Zafferani
43'
-
Alessandro D'Addario
90'+4'
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Aron Elis Thrandarson
11'
San Marino vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.
Result
San Marino
23.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
21.67%
▼
(-0.01)
Iceland
54.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
61.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.14%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
36.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
40.96%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
59.04%
▼
(-0.03)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5
71.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
28.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
35.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
64.05%
▼
(-0.02)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
86.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
13.63%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
59.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
40.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
San Marino
23.97%
Draw
21.67%
Iceland
54.37%
San Marino
2-1
@
6.12%
1-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 23.97%
1-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 23.97%
Draw
1-1
@
9.71%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.67%
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.67%
Iceland
1-2
@
9.67%
0-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.54%
2-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.37%
0-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.54%
2-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.37%