Nations League
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dante Rossi 62' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Golinucci 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Mbong 15'
  • yellowcard Alexander Satariano 45'+3'
  • goal Jan Busuttil 59'
  • goal Matthew Guillaumier 75'
  • yellowcard Brandon Paiber 80'

San Marino vs Malta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 2, 2022 5.00pm
Estonia 2 - 0 San Marino

Malta

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Malta in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Malta.

Result

San Marino 26.9% (-0.02)
Draw 23.55% (+0.01)
Malta 49.55% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.33% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.96% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 34.64% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.36% (+0.05)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 70.67% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.33% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.7% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 65.3% (+0.05)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 82.53% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.47% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.06% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.94% (+0.02)

Score analysis

San Marino 26.9%
Draw 23.55%
Malta 49.55%
San Marino
2-1 @ 6.72% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 26.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.55%
Malta
1-2 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.94% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.55%