Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Malta in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Malta.