UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Jun 5, 2022 at 2pm UK

San Marino
0 - 2
Malta

Rossi (62'), Golinucci (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Busuttil (59'), Guillaumier (75')
Mbong (15'), Satariano (45+3'), Paiber (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between San Marino and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

Last Six:

Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Malta

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Malta in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Malta.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Malta
26.9% ( -0.02)	23.55% ( 0.01)	49.55% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.33% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

-0.04)

42.96% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-0.04)

65.36% (

0.04)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.03)

29.33% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.04)

65.3% (

0.04)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

-0.01)

17.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06% (

-0.02)

47.94% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

San Marino 26.9%

Malta 49.55%

Draw 23.55%

San Marino	Draw	Malta
2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 26.9%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.55%