/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Festlog.png)
-
Karl Hein
56'
-
Matthew Guillaumier
78'
-
Konstantin Vassiljev
21'
-
Mattias Kait
48'
-
Sergei Zenjov
90'+3'
-
Henri Anier
90'+4'
Malta vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F22%2Fthomas-haberli.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result
Malta
43.5%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
23.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Estonia
33.05%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
62.61%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
61%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
39%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
38.68%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
61.32%
▲
(+0.25)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5
81.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
18.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
50.61%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
49.39%
▲
(+0.06)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
76.64%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
23.36%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
42.67%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
57.33%
▲
(+0.32)
Score analysis
Malta
43.5%
Draw
23.44%
Estonia
33.05%
Malta
2-1
@
8.96%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.5%
1-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.5%
Draw
1-1
@
10.55%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
2-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
Estonia
1-2
@
7.68%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.05%
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.05%