UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Malta
1 - 2
Estonia

Hein (56' og.)
Guillaumier (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vassiljev (21'), Anier (90+4')
Kait (48'), Zenjov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Malta and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Estonia

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Albania vs. Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Malta	Draw	Estonia
43.5% ( 0.15)	23.45% ( 0.04)	33.05% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 62.61% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61% (

-0.24)

39% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.68% (

-0.25)

61.32% (

0.25)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69% (

-0.03)

18.31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.61% (

-0.05)

49.39% (

0.05)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-0.22)

23.36% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-0.32)

57.33% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Malta 43.5%

Estonia 33.05%

Draw 23.44%

Malta	Draw	Estonia
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 43.5%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.05%