UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Malta
1 - 0
San Marino

Muscat (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lunadei (67'), Battistini (86'), Rossi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Malta and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

San Marino

Last Six:

Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	San Marino
50.8% ( -0.01)	22.09% ( -0)	27.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.74% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.1% (

0.03)

35.9% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.01% (

0.03)

57.99% (

-0.04)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.57% (

14.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.63% (

0.01)

42.37% (

-0.02)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

0.02)

25.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

0.03)

60.35% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Malta 50.8%

San Marino 27.1%

Draw 22.09%

Malta	Draw	San Marino
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.8%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.1%