Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%).