Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for USA had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest USA win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.