International Friendly

Nov 6, 2022 at 12pm UK

Iceland
1 - 0
Saudi Arabia

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Iceland and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Albania 1-1 Iceland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Mexico	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iceland in this match.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Saudi Arabia
53.03% ( -0.12)	23.27% ( 0.02)	23.7% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.97% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.44% (

-0.01)

44.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07% (

-0)

66.93% (

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22% (

-0.04)

16.78% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.27% (

-0.08)

46.73% (

0.08)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

0.08)

32.75% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

0.09)

69.3% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Iceland 53.03%

Saudi Arabia 23.7%

Draw 23.27%

Iceland	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.03%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.7%