Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Venezuela	Draw	Iceland
40.18% ( -12.48)	22.92% ( -0.98)	36.9% ( 13.46)

Both teams to score 65.6% (

12.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.51% (

12.08)

35.49% (

-12.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.47% (

12.24)

57.53% (

-12.23)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0.24)

18.26% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69% (

-0.41)

49.31% (

0.41)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

14.88)

19.74% (

-14.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23% (

19.57)

51.77% (

-19.57)

Score Analysis

Venezuela 40.18%

Iceland 36.9%

Draw 22.92%

Venezuela	Draw	Iceland
2-1 @ 8.46% ( -1.26) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( -4.56) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -3.95) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.76) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.94) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -2.28) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.34) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.99) Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.18%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( -1.39) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 1.71) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -2.63) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 1.06) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 8.07% ( 2.05) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.77) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1.23) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 2.24) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 1.89) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1.33) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.21) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 1.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.71) Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.9%