UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Iceland
2 - 2
Israel

Dagur Thorsteinsson (9'), Johann Helgason (60')
Arnar Haraldsson (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Leo Gretarsson (35' og.), Peretz (67')
Peretz (45+2'), Menachem (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Iceland and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

Last Six:

Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Israel

Last Six:

Last Game: Albania 1-2 Israel
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Israel
37.79% ( -0.02)	23.85% ( -0)	38.36% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 62.06% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

0.03)

40.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.52% (

0.04)

62.48% (

-0.03)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

0.01)

21.36% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

0.01)

54.34% (

-0.01)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

0.03)

21.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09% (

0.04)

53.91% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Iceland 37.79%

Israel 38.36%

Draw 23.85%

Iceland	Draw	Israel
2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.79%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.36%