Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Israel had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.