Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Israel had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%).