Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.