UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Gibraltar
1 - 2
Georgia

Annesley (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kvaratskhelia (19' pen.), Tsitaishvili (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Gibraltar and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Bulgaria 5-1 Gibraltar
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Georgia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Georgia 2-0 N. Macedonia
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	Georgia
19.95% ( -0.01)	23.6% ( -0)	56.45% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.8% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

-0.01)

50.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

-0.01)

72.2% (

0.01)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.44% (

-0.02)

39.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

-0.02)

76.24% (

0.02)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

17.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.8%

48.19% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 19.95%

Georgia 56.44%

Draw 23.6%

Gibraltar	Draw	Georgia
1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.95%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 12.09% 0-2 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.44%