UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 12, 2022 at 5pm UK

N. Macedonia
4 - 0
Gibraltar

Bardhi (4'), Torilla (14' og.), Miovski (16'), Churlinov (31')
Nikolov (83')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Lopes (4'), Sergeant (84'), Chipolina (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between North Macedonia and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

Last Six:

Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Gibraltar

Last Six:

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Gibraltar
60.47% ( -0.03)	24.2% ( -0.01)	15.33% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 40.13% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.27% (

0.09)

58.73% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

0.07)

79.26% (

-0.07)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

0.03)

19.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

0.04)

51.03% (

-0.04)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.72% (

0.11)

50.28% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.15% (

0.07)

84.85% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 60.46%

Gibraltar 15.33%

Draw 24.19%

North Macedonia	Draw	Gibraltar
1-0 @ 15.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.46%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 15.33%