UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 2, 2022 at 5pm UK

Bulgaria
1 - 1
N. Macedonia

Despodov (13')
Milanov (45'), Minchev (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ristovski (50')
Ashkovski (64'), Elmas (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

Last Six:

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Georgia vs. Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

North Macedonia

Last Six:

Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	North Macedonia
29.78% ( -0.03)	22.45% ( 0.01)	47.77% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 64.58% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.3% (

-0.06)

35.7% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.23% (

-0.06)

57.77% (

0.06)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.05)

23.68% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

-0.07)

57.79% (

0.07)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

-0.02)

15.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.8% (

-0.03)

44.2% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 29.78%

North Macedonia 47.77%

Draw 22.45%

Bulgaria	Draw	North Macedonia
2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.78% 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.78%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.77%