Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.