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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Georgia national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Gibraltar national football team

Georgia
4 - 0
Gibraltar

Kvaratskhelia (12'), Kashia (33'), Mikautadze (87'), Qazaishvili (88')
Chakvetadze (36'), Giorbelidze (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jolley (32'), Britto (36'), Casciaro (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Georgia and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

Last Six:
Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Georgia vs. Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Gibraltar

Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Georgia 3-0 Gibraltar

 Considering there are 118 places separating Georgia (85th) and Gibraltar (203rd) in the FIFA world rankings, the hosts will be regarded as the favourites for Thursday's contest. Georgia have comfortably beaten Gibraltar in their previous four encounters against them and they should have no problems in securing victory in Tbilisi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawGibraltar
55.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 19.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)57.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (0.023 0.02)78.05% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)80.46% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Georgia 55.55%
    Gibraltar 19.22%
    Draw 25.22%
GeorgiaDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 14.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 19.22%

How you voted: Georgia vs Gibraltar

Georgia
90.1%
Draw
4.2%
Gibraltar
5.6%
71
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group D
Gibraltar
2-3
Georgia
Casciaro (66'), Chipolina (74')
Badr (45'), Sergeant (56')
Kharaishvili (10'), Kankava (21'), Kvilitaia (84')
Khotcholava (49')
Jun 7, 2019 5pm
Group D
Georgia
3-0
Gibraltar
Gvilia (30'), Papunashvili (59'), Arveladze (76')
Kankava (45')

Sergeant (50'), Olivero (62'), Chipolina (76')
Oct 8, 2015 5pm
Group D
Georgia
4-0
Gibraltar
Vatsadze (30', 45'), Okriashvili (35' pen.), Kazaishvili (87')
Okriashvili (31')

Cabrera (15')
> Match Report
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Group D
Gibraltar
0-3
Georgia

Garcia (18'), Casciaro (33'), Chipolina (71')
Gelashvili (9'), Okriashvili (20'), Kankava (69')
Dzaria (47'), Papunashvili (87')
> Match Report
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