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World Cup

Gibraltar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Latvia national football team

Gibraltar
1 - 3
Latvia

Walker (7')
Torilla (28'), Ronan (70'), Styche (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gutkovskis (25'), Uldrikis (55'), Krollis (75')
Uldrikis (46'), Kamess (66'), Karklins (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Gibraltar and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawLatvia
30.2%26.96%42.83%
Both teams to score 49.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61%55.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41%76.59%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66%33.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04%69.96%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39%25.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 30.2%
    Latvia 42.83%
    Draw 26.96%
GibraltarDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 11.63%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.83%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Latvia

Gibraltar
11.8%
Draw
8.2%
Latvia
80.0%
85