World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Latvia
3 - 1
Gibraltar

Gutkovskis (50' pen., 85'), CigaÅ†iks (89')
Cernomordijs (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

De Barr (71' pen.)
Bosio (6'), Annesley (38'), Luis Chipolina (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Latvia and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 47.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Gibraltar
47.47%	26.39%	26.15%

Both teams to score 48.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.74%

55.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.51%

76.49%

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71%

23.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77%

57.23%

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.53%

36.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.74%

73.26%

Score Analysis

Latvia 47.46%

Gibraltar 26.15%

Draw 26.38%

Latvia	Draw	Gibraltar
1-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.46%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.85% Total : 26.15%

How you voted: Latvia vs Gibraltar

Latvia

79.2%

Draw

11.3%

Gibraltar

9.4%