Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Morocco win it was 1-0 (8.5%).