World Cup
Spain
Nov 27, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Germany
  • Alvaro Morata 62' goal
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 83'

Spain vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 23, 2022 4.00pm
Spain 7 - 0 Costa Rica

Germany

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 23, 2022 1.00pm
Germany 1 - 2 Japan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Germany had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Spain 40.88% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 24.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Germany 34.59% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 43.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 33.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 66.12% ▲ (+0.06)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 78.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 21.45% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 45.53% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 54.46% ▼ (-0.15)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 75.29% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 24.71% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 40.74% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 59.26% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Spain 40.88%
Draw 24.52%
Germany 34.59%
Spain
2-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.52%
Germany
1-2 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 34.59%

Head to Head

Nations League
Spain
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Germany
  • Alvaro Morata 17' goal
  • Ferran Torres 33' goal
  • Rodri 38' goal
  • Ferran Torres 55' goal
  • Ferran Torres 71' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 89' goal
  • yellowcard Robin Koch 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 67'
Nations League
Germany
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Spain
  • Timo Werner 51' goal
  • goal Jose Gaya 90'+6'
International Friendlies
Spain
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm
Germany
International Friendlies
Germany
Mar 23, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Esprit Arena
Spain
  • Thomas Muller 35' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 6'
International Friendlies
Spain
Nov 18, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Germany
  • Raul Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • goal Toni Kroos 89'
European Under-21s Championship
Germany
Jun 9, 2013 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Spain
  • goal Alvaro Morata 0'

Form Data

Spain 7 - 0 Costa Rica
Jordan 1 - 3 Spain
Portugal 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 1 - 2 Switzerland
Spain 2 - 0 Czech Republic
Switzerland 0 - 1 Spain
Germany 1 - 2 Japan
Oman 0 - 1 Germany
England 3 - 3 Germany
Germany 0 - 1 Hungary
Germany 5 - 2 Italy
Hungary 1 - 1 Germany

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