Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Hungary win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.