UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Italy
2 - 1
Hungary

Barella (30'), Pellegrini (45')
Barella (64'), Cristante (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (61' og.)
Schafer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Italy and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

Last Six:

Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	2	1	4
2	Hungary	2	0	3
3	Germany	2	0	2
4	England	2	-1	1

Hungary

Last Six:

Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Hungary vs. Germany
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	2	1	4
2	Hungary	2	0	3
3	Germany	2	0	2
4	England	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Hungary win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Italy	Draw	Hungary
45.7% ( 0.03)	25.95% ( -0.03)	28.35% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.65% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.75% (

0.11)

52.25% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.04% (

0.09)

73.95% (

-0.09)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18% (

0.06)

22.82% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46% (

0.09)

56.54% (

-0.09)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

0.05)

33.08% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.32% (

0.06)

69.67% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Italy 45.69%

Hungary 28.35%

Draw 25.94%

Italy	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.35%