Turkey national football team
International Friendly
Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Italy national football team

Turkey
2 - 3
Italy

Under (4'), Dursun (83')
Muldur (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cristante (35'), Raspadori (39', 70')
Zaniolo (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Turkey and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up in Tuesday's international friendly with Turkey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

Last Six:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Italy

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawItaly
19.98%26.75%53.27%
Both teams to score 41.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.56%61.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.68%81.32%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.96%46.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.25%81.75%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71%57.29%
Score Analysis
    Turkey 19.98%
    Italy 53.26%
    Draw 26.74%
TurkeyDrawItaly
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-1 @ 4.7%
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 19.98%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 15.63%
0-2 @ 11.37%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-3 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-4 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 53.26%

How you voted: Turkey vs Italy

Turkey
39.0%
Draw
16.9%
Italy
44.2%
77
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2021 8pm
Group A
Turkey
0-3
Italy

Soyuncu (88'), Dervisoglu (90')
Demiral (53' og.), Immobile (66'), Insigne (79')