Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.47%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.