/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flitlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
-
Paulius Golubickas
9'
-
Linas Klimavicius
46'
-
Pijus Sirvys
55'
-
Dogukan Sinik
2'
-
Dogukan Sinik
14'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
33'
-
Serdar Dursun
56'
-
Serdar Dursun
81'
-
Yunus Akgun
89'
-
Halil Dervisoglu
90'+1'
Lithuania vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F13%2Fstefan-kuntz.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
Result
Lithuania
19.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.01%
▼
(-0.02)
Turkey
57.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
50.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
48.51%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
29.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
70.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
60.88%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
39.12%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
24.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
75.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
83.41%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
16.59%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
53.6%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
46.39%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Lithuania
19.43%
Draw
23%
Turkey
57.55%
Lithuania
1-0
@
6.09%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.43%
2-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.43%
Draw
1-1
@
10.94%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23%
Turkey
0-1
@
11.65%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 57.55%
0-2 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 57.55%