UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

LFF Stadium, Vilnius

Lithuania
0 - 6
Turkey

Golubickas (9'), Klimavicius (46'), Sirvys (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sinik (2', 14'), Dursun (56' pen., 81'), Akgun (89'), Dervisoglu (90+1')
Calhanoglu (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Faroe Islands vs. Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Turkey

Last Six:

Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Turkey
19.43% ( 0)	23.01% ( -0.01)	57.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.78% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.48% (

0.05)

48.51% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

0.04)

70.64% (

-0.04)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.88% (

0.03)

39.12% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.16% (

0.03)

75.83% (

-0.03)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

0.02)

16.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.6% (

0.04)

46.39% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 19.43%

Turkey 57.55%

Draw 23%

Lithuania	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.43%	1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 57.55%