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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Lithuania national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Luxembourg national football team

Lithuania
0 - 2
Luxembourg


Lasickas (54'), Slivka (61'), Petkevicius (81'), Dolznikov (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sinani (44', 78')
Chanot (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Faroe Islands vs. Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Luxembourg

Last Six:
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Lithuania 1-2 Luxembourg

 Both minnow nations have struggled to put together strong runs of form, but they will be hoping that their upcoming Nations League fixtures will provide them with an opportunity to turn their fortunes around. The visitors will head into Saturday's game as the slight favourites and we can see them coming away with a slender victory in Vilnius. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.1%) and 2-3 (4.66%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.

Result
LithuaniaDrawLuxembourg
37.33% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 41.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 71.69% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.35% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.64% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.7% (0.051000000000002 0.05)48.3% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.019000000000005 0.02)16.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.036000000000001 0.04)45.47% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (0.031999999999996 0.03)42.63% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 37.34%
    Luxembourg 41.25%
    Draw 21.41%
LithuaniaDrawLuxembourg
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.1%
2-3 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.34%
1-5 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 41.25%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Luxembourg

Lithuania
28.4%
Draw
19.3%
Luxembourg
52.3%
109
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2019 7.45pm
Group B
Lithuania
1-1
Luxembourg
Novikovas (74')
Mikoliunas (5'), Novikovas (29'), Golubickas (39'), Vorobjovas (57'), Laukzemis (71'), Klimavicius (85')
Mikoliunas (42'), Vorobjovas (94')
Rodrigues (21')
Carlson (27'), Thill (76'), Malget (85')
Mar 22, 2019 7.45pm
Group B
Luxembourg
2-1
Lithuania
Barreiro (45'), Rodrigues (55')
Martins (30'), Carlson (70'), Sinani (86')
Cernych (14')
Mikoliunas (45'), Valskis (86')
rhs 2.0
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