Nations League
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fluxlog.png)
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Rene Joensen
16'
-
Rene Joensen
68'
-
Solvi Vatnhamar
81'
-
Odmar Faero
84'
-
Gerson Rodrigues
74'
Faroe Islands vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.63%) and 2-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
Result
Faroe Islands
33.55%
Draw
20.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Luxembourg
45.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
72.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
26.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
53.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
46.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5
82.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
52.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
47.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5
87.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
12.66%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
61.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
38.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Faroe Islands
33.55%
Draw
20.98%
Luxembourg
45.47%
Faroe Islands
2-1
@
6.97%
▲
(+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1%
1-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 33.55%
3-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1%
1-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 33.55%
Draw
1-1
@
7.91%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.21%
3-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.98%
2-2 @ 7.21%
3-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.98%
Luxembourg
1-2
@
8.17%
▲
(+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.63%
2-3 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65%
3-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 45.47%
1-3 @ 5.63%
2-3 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65%
3-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 45.47%