World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Nov 11, 2021 at 5pm UK

Azerbaijan
1 - 3
Luxembourg

Salahli (83')
Madatov (44'), Salahli (45+1'), Mahmudov (90'), Medvedev (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigues (67', 90+1'), Thill (78')
Carlson (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Azerbaijan and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Luxembourg
36.4%	24.77%	38.83%

Both teams to score 58.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4%

44.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04%

66.97%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6%

58.4%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17%

22.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45%

56.55%

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 36.4%

Luxembourg 38.83%

Draw 24.76%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Luxembourg
2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 36.4%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.83%