UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 11, 2022 at 5pm UK

Faroe Islands
2 - 1
Lithuania

Davidsen (20' pen.), Andreasen (45')
Faero (42'), Mohr Jonsson (89'), Simun Edmundsson (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cernych (6')
Barauskas (18'), Megelaitis (60'), Laukzemis (66'), Utkus (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Faroe Islands and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Faroe Islands

Last Six:

Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 38.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.96%) and 3-2 (4.68%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Faroe Islands in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Faroe Islands.

Result
Faroe Islands	Draw	Lithuania
40.14% ( 0.13)	21.24% ( 0.02)	38.62% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 72.49% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.33% (

-0.12)

26.67% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.93% (

-0.15)

47.07% (

0.16)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

-0)

14.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.36% (

-0.01)

42.64% (

0.01)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86% (

-0.11)

15.14% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.27% (

-0.21)

43.73% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Faroe Islands 40.14%

Lithuania 38.62%

Draw 21.24%

Faroe Islands	Draw	Lithuania
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 40.14%	1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.16% Total : 38.62%