International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Troy Parrott 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Vykintas Slivka 56'
  • yellowcard Fedor Cernych 75'

Republic of Ireland vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2022 5.00pm
Rep. Ireland 2 - 2 Belgium

Lithuania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Republic of Ireland.

Result

Republic of Ireland 57.37%
Draw 24.02%
Lithuania 18.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.46%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.42%
Under 2.5 53.57%
Over 3.5 24.91%
Under 3.5 75.08%

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 81.49%
Under 0.5 18.5%
Over 1.5 50.28%
Under 1.5 49.72%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 57%
Under 0.5 42.99%
Over 1.5 20.71%
Under 1.5 79.28%

Score analysis

Republic of Ireland 57.37%
Draw 24.01%
Lithuania 18.61%
Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 13.42%
2-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 5.38%
4-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 2.27%
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 57.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.01%
Lithuania
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.61%