Nations League
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leandro Barreiro 35' yellowcard
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 37'
  • goal Serdar Dursun 76'

Luxembourg vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 7, 2022 7.45pm
Faroe Islands 0 - 1 Luxembourg

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 7, 2022 7.45pm
Lithuania 0 - 6 Turkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Turkey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Turkey.

Result

Luxembourg 24.26% (-0.06)
Draw 22.87% (-0.03)
Turkey 52.87% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.81% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 42.19% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 35.41% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 64.59% (-0.06)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 69.01% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.98% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.71% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.29% (+0.02)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5 84.02% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.98% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 54.72% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 45.28% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Luxembourg 24.26%
Draw 22.86%
Turkey 52.87%
Luxembourg
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.8% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.86%
Turkey
1-2 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.96% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.49% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (-98.80)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 52.87%