UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Luxembourg
0 - 2
Turkey

Barreiro (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dursun (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

Last Six:

Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Turkey

Last Six:

Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Turkey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Turkey.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Turkey
24.26% ( -0.05)	22.87% ( -0.02)	52.87% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.81% (

0.05)

42.19% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.41% (

0.05)

64.59% (

-0.05)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

-0.02)

30.98% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

-0.02)

67.29% (

0.02)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02% (

0.04)

15.98% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.72% (

0.08)

45.28% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 24.26%

Turkey 52.87%

Draw 22.86%

Luxembourg	Draw	Turkey
2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.26%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.87%