World Cup
Germany
Nov 23, 2022 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Japan
  • Ilkay Gundogan 33' goal
  • goal Ritsu Doan 75'
  • goal Takuma Asano 83'

Germany vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Japan had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Japan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Germany 53.21% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 24.19% ▲ (+0.18)
Japan 22.59% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.66% ▼ (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.37% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 49.62% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 28.35% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 71.64% ▲ (+0.53)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 81.41% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 0.5 18.59% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 50.14% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 49.86% ▲ (+0.58)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 36.54% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 26.67% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 73.33% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Germany 53.21%
Draw 24.19%
Japan 22.59%
Germany
1-0 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.19%
Japan
0-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.59%

Form Data

Oman 0 - 1 Germany
England 3 - 3 Germany
Germany 0 - 1 Hungary
Germany 5 - 2 Italy
Hungary 1 - 1 Germany
Germany 1 - 1 England
Japan 1 - 2 Canada
Ecuador 0 - 0 Japan
Japan 2 - 0 USA
Japan 0 - 1 Brazil
Japan 4 - 1 Paraguay
Japan 1 - 1 Vietnam

Build-up

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