UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

England national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Germany national football team

England
3 - 3
Germany

Shaw (72'), Mount (75'), Kane (83' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gundogan (52' pen.), Havertz (67', 87')
Reaction
Harry Maguire in action for England on September 26, 2022
Manchester United's Harry Maguire suffers injury on England duty?
Manchester United centre-back Harry Maguire has a suspected hamstring injury which he sustained in England's 3-3 UEFA Nations League draw at home to Germany on Monday.
Sep 27, 18:19
 England manager Gareth Southgate on September 23, 2022
Gareth Southgate admits England players held private meeting before Germany game
Gareth Southgate reveals his England players asked to hold a private meeting between themselves to discuss their current poor run of form prior to Monday's draw with Germany.
Sep 27, 15:11
 England players look dejected after Ilkay Gundogan scores for Germany on September 26, 2022
Maguire, Bellingham, Alexander-Arnold: Where do England stand ahead of World Cup?
Sports Mole analyses where England stand ahead of their World Cup opener against Iran, with more questions than answers being raised during the international break.
Sep 27, 14:57
 England's Harry Maguire shakes hands with manager Gareth Southgate after the match on September 26, 2022
England manager Gareth Southgate defends continued Harry Maguire selection
England boss Gareth Southgate vows to continue selecting Manchester United duo Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw, but admits that their positions in the team could become "untenable".
Sep 27, 12:53
 Wembley is the setting for the Play-Off final
Four Germany fans arrested after 100-strong pub attack prior to England game
The Metropolitan Police state that four arrests have been made after German 'fans' attacked England supporters at a pub prior to Monday's UEFA Nations League fixture at Wembley Stadium.
Sep 27, 12:08
 Mason Mount celebrates scoring for England against Germany on September 26, 2022
England comeback in vain as Germany rescue six-goal draw
England end their doomed UEFA Nations League campaign with a spectacular 3-3 draw against Germany at Wembley Stadium.
Sep 26, 20:42

The Match

Team News

England manager Gareth Southgate makes just two changes for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany, as John Stones and Luke Shaw return to the first XI.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between England and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Italy 1-0 England
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Germany 0-1 Hungary
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EnglandDrawGermany
40.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.03% (0.029 0.03)36.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.17% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95% (-0.142 -0.14)36.05% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.84% (-0.157 -0.16)58.16% (0.158 0.16)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)18.58% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16% (-0.106 -0.11)49.84% (0.108 0.11)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)19.97% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-0.118 -0.12)52.13% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    England 40.01%
    Germany 36.96%
    Draw 23.02%
EnglandDrawGermany
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.24% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 36.96%

How you voted: England vs Germany

England
32.6%
Draw
25.9%
Germany
41.5%
533
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2022 7.45pm
League A3
Germany
1-1
England
Hofmann (50')
Schlotterbeck (87')
Kane (88' pen.)
Jun 29, 2021 5pm
England
2-0
Germany
Sterling (75'), Kane (86')
Rice (8'), Phillips (45'), Maguire (77')

Ginter (25'), Gosens (72')
Nov 10, 2017 8pm
England
0-0
Germany
> Match Report
Mar 22, 2017 7.45pm
Germany
1-0
England
> Match Report
Mar 26, 2016 7.45pm
Germany
2-3
England
> Match Report
Build-up
England manager Gareth Southgate on September 23, 2022
Gareth Southgate: 'England lack Joshua Kimmich-type player'
England manager Gareth Southgate admits that his side lack a player in the ilk of Germany's Joshua Kimmich ahead of the two nations meeting at Wembley on Monday night.
Sep 26, 17:32
 England players look dejected after Roland Sallai scores for Hungary on June 14, 2022
England out to avoid equalling 41-year-old record against Germany
England could go four consecutive games without scoring for only the second time in their history when they take on Germany in Monday's UEFA Nations League clash.
Sep 26, 09:42
 Trent Alexander-Arnold in action for Liverpool on September 13, 2022
Trent Alexander-Arnold, Fikayo Tomori left out of England squad for Germany game
Trent Alexander-Arnold and Fikayo Tomori are both left out of the England squad for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany in League A Group 3.
Sep 26, 08:36
 Trent Alexander-Arnold in action for Liverpool on September 13, 2022
Gareth Southgate comments on Trent Alexander-Arnold omission
Gareth Southgate addresses his decision to leave Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold out of the squad for the 1-0 defeat to Italy.
Sep 25, 22:25
 England manager Gareth Southgate on September 23, 2022
Gareth Southgate insists England can turn form around
Gareth Southgate insists that he can turn around England's form despite overseeing a run of five matches without a victory.
Sep 25, 18:08
 England's Raheem Sterling on September 23, 2022
Raheem Sterling: 'Not time for England to panic'
Raheem Sterling believes that "it's not the time to panic" as he urges his England teammates to take responsibility for their poor run of form.
Sep 25, 17:57
 New Real Madrid defender Antonio Rudiger pictured on June 20, 2022
How Germany could line up against England
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.
Sep 24, 06:35
 Jack Grealish in action for England on September 23, 2022
How England could line up against Germany
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany.
Sep 24, 06:28
rhs 2.0


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