England vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.