/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fspalog.png)
-
Ritsu Doan
48'
-
Ao Tanaka
51'
-
Alvaro Morata
11'
Japan vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F47%2Fgavi-alvaro-morata-dani-olmo.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result
Japan
30.83%
▼
(-0.44)
Draw
25.34%
▼
(-0.22)
Spain
43.83%
▲
(+0.66)
Both Teams to Score:
54.99%
▲
(+0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.44%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 2.5
48.55%
▼
(-0.77)
Over 3.5
29.32%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 3.5
70.68%
▼
(-0.69)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5
70.6%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
29.4%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
34.61%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
65.38%
▼
(-0.11)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5
77.88%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 0.5
22.12%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 1.5
44.51%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 1.5
55.49%
▼
(-0.95)
Score analysis
Japan
30.83%
Draw
25.34%
Spain
43.83%
Japan
1-0
@
7.96%
▼
(-0.24)
2-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 30.83%
2-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 30.83%
Draw
1-1
@
12.01%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
Spain
0-1
@
9.81%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.83%
1-2 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.83%
Build-up
Feature
Feature
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News
Predicted Lineups