Mozambique national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Algeria national football team

Mozambique
0 - 1
Algeria

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dehiri (7')
Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Algeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Algeria

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawAlgeria
19.26% (-1.173 -1.17)25.81% (-1.05 -1.05)54.93% (2.222 2.22)
Both teams to score 42.69% (1.028 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (2.231 2.23)59.15% (-2.232 -2.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.41% (1.693 1.69)79.58% (-1.694 -1.69)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)81.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (1.9 1.9)21.65% (-1.902 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (2.826 2.83)54.78% (-2.828 -2.83)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 19.26%
    Algeria 54.91%
    Draw 25.81%
MozambiqueDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.682 -0.68)
2-1 @ 4.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.05% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-1 @ 1.23% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.94% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 19.26%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.856 -0.86)
2-2 @ 3.57% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 15.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 11.53% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.259 0.26)
0-3 @ 5.88% (0.483 0.48)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.38 0.38)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.299 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.149 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.234 0.23)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 54.91%