Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for Libya had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.26%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Libya
46.52% ( 2.37)	32.67% ( -0.62)	20.81% ( -1.74)

Both teams to score 30.47% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.28% (

0.47)

75.72% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.32% (

0.27)

90.68% (

-0.26)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

1.65)

33.87% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

1.75)

70.54% (

-1.75)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.07% (

-1.58)

53.93% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.77% (

-1)

87.23% (

Score Analysis

Mozambique 46.51%

Libya 20.8%

Draw 32.67%

Mozambique	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 19.77% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.51%	0-0 @ 18.26% ( -0.33) 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 32.67%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.41) Other @ 2.28% Total : 20.8%