Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 22, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Steve Mounie 82' goal
  • goal Gilbert Mugisha 13'

Benin vs Rwanda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 8.00pm
Benin 0 - 1 Mozambique

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 7, 2022 8.00pm
Rwanda 0 - 1 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Benin 61.54% (+4.09)
Draw 26% (-2.08)
Rwanda 12.46% (-2.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

30.69% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.09% (+2.61)
Under 2.5 67.91% (-2.60)
Over 3.5 14.13% (+1.69)
Under 3.5 85.87% (-1.69)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5 77.37% (+2.96)
Under 0.5 22.63% (-2.95)
Over 1.5 43.74% (+4.21)
Under 1.5 56.26% (-4.20)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5 39.67% (-1.58)
Under 0.5 60.33% (+1.58)
Over 1.5 9.18% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 90.81% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Benin 61.53%
Draw 25.99%
Rwanda 12.46%
Benin
1-0 @ 20.28% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 15.07% (+1.11)
2-1 @ 7.62% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 7.46% (+1.12)
3-1 @ 3.77% (+0.40)
4-0 @ 2.77% (+0.62)
4-1 @ 1.4% (+0.26)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.53%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.65% (-1.38)
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.65)
2-2 @ 1.93% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.99%
Rwanda
0-1 @ 6.9% (-1.10)
1-2 @ 2.59% (-0.31)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.39)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 12.46%