Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Benin
1 - 1
Rwanda

Mounie (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mugisha (13')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Benin and Rwanda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda
Sunday, March 19 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Benin	Draw	Rwanda
61.54% ( 4.08)	26% ( -2.07)	12.46% ( -2.01)

Both teams to score 30.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.09% (

2.6)

67.91% (

-2.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.13% (

1.68)

85.87% (

-1.68)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

2.95)

22.63% (

-2.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74% (

4.2)

56.26% (

-4.2)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.67% (

-1.57)

60.33% (

1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.18% (

-0.82)

90.81% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Benin 61.53%

Rwanda 12.46%

Draw 25.99%

Benin	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 20.28% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 15.07% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 1.12) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.61) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 61.53%	0-0 @ 13.65% ( -1.38) 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( -1.09) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.38) Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.46%