Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.